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Posted inNews:Newsletters

Dear diary: You’ll never believe what happened on my Boulder commute 

Plus: Mountains have groundwater, and that too is shrinking
A man with short reddish-brown hair wearing a light blue collared shirt, posed against a plain light background. by Michael Booth and John Ingold 10:52 AM MDT on Jun 12, 202410:55 AM MDT on Jun 12, 2024 Why you can trust The Colorado Sun

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That late evening sometime between May 15 and June 15, when your roommate heard the first hints of hail pounding on the roof and kicked you out the screen door and you were torn between throwing blankets over the tomato plants or getting the least-bad car from the curb into the safety of the garage, which you should have done at 4 p.m. but forgot, that’s when you became a true Coloradan.

That scramble has long been a late-spring/early-summer ritual on the Front Range, which is regularly pummeled by hundred million-dollar damage hail storms that almost make you feel sorry for new car dealers and their acreage of vulnerable car tops.

But with each insurance renewal, the hail rituals become a reminder of the proximity of climate change. Perhaps your mountain condo HOA’s insurance premiums doubled, or worse. Maybe you’re paying $300 more per car each year as auto insurers try to keep up with damage payments. It’s possible you’ve been canceled from any insurance offers if you live in a wildland-urban interface increasingly exposed to droughts and wildfires.

We’re here to hear your complaints, your fears and your details. We’re getting ready to host a panel with some top insurance experts who will face your challenging questions about how climate change is hitting consumers hard in the form of premiums. It’s one of the first areas of the economy where everyday consumers are feeling the true impact of the planet’s warming. We’ve got the state insurance commissioner, the state trade group’s chief, and a national consumer voice. Join us for the live airing of the panel July 9.

In the meantime, send us your ideas, questions@ColoradoSun.com, and your premium invoices, and we’ll put them in front of the experts.

On to the news — thanks for joining us.

Michael Booth

Reporter

TEMP CHECK

CLIMATE

Boulder residents giving up single-occupancy car trips, but not fast enough

A graphic showing how much the ingredients in a burger have increased
Boulder residents have been filling out daily travel diaries for 30 years in an effort to reduce single-occupancy vehicle trips; here’s the trend. (City of Boulder)

It’s taken a long, slow drumbeat to convince Boulder residents to give up their American birthright of single-occupancy car trips, in favor of buses or bicycles. The challenge is documented in thousands of diary entries across more than 30 years, as Boulder leaders seek evidence that their climate change goals are achievable.

So what secrets are revealed in this year’s diary unveilings?

The city continues to make good progress slowing the use of one person/one car. Single-occupancy trips are down to about 35% of all travel, from 44% in 1990 when the diary collections began. Nearly 18% of trips are now on bikes, scooters or e-bikes, double from 9% in 1990.

But it’s not enough, by Boulder’s own standards.

Reaching the city’s climate and clean energy goals means getting to only 20% of local trips by people driving alone in cars in 2030, and a few factors are complicating things. The pandemic hugely disrupted public transit services across the country, and ridership hasn’t recovered in Boulder or much of anywhere else.

Transit agencies had to cut back on the number of routes and their frequency; fewer employers are paying for EcoPasses for employees; and teleworking is still high. In fact, the portion of residents now teleworking on the day they were assigned to fill out a diary is up to nearly 25%, from only 8% in 2009.

Teleworking is good for the climate goals, right? Fewer single commuters on the road. Except that those homebound workers are still jumping in their cars for errands. Daily vehicle miles traveled for the 1,000-odd diary writers last year did not change from the year before.

A graphic showing how much the ingredients in a burger have increased
Here’s how the pie splits up for a whole year of the travel diaries of just under 1,000 Boulder residents.

Because 1,000 people have been filling out the detailed diaries for decades now, they also serve as an anthropologist’s dream database on modern culture. One out of five respondents received a home package delivery on the day they were assigned to make an entry, and 38% of those said the delivery replaced their own trip in a vehicle.

Those numbers may be helping hold down more rapid growth of vehicle miles traveled. In theory, home deliveries can be better for the environment if they employ a computer-programmed, efficient route using the battery-powered vans that Amazon and other companies are fast acquiring.

Boulder says the diary entries point city leaders toward a redoubling of work to reduce single-occupancy driving. That includes more ways to support restoring public transit to pre-COVID levels, working with large employers on progressive options, and further smoothing the way for so-called “micro-mobility,” like those bikes and scooters.

Stay tuned. The secrets of the Boulder diaries won’t stop.

Section by Michael Booth | Reporter

MORE CLIMATE NEWS

  • The elk are protecting loved ones, but it’s dangerous for humans. Elk calving season has proven a menace for far more Estes Park residents than usual, Michael Booth reports, as three stompings of humans in two weeks raised major warning flags from state wildlife officials. Control officers called it an unprecedented set of attacks on humans, and warned Larimer County residents and visitors to be even more careful than usual about getting in between elk mamas and elk babies.
  • So how are those water talks going? Slowly, as per usual, according to Shannon Mullane, who brings back reports from a key runoff-season water conference of the big Western state players. Better snowpack has removed some of the urgency for now on Colorado River crisis talks, but the Upper Basin and Lower Basin states still need a long-term agreement on how to share the pain of dealing with droughts and climate change.
  • Colorado apparently leading the way on restoring wetlands protections. When the U.S. Supreme Court wiped out protections for marginal wetlands areas in a landmark decision that scrambled conservation officials across the nation, Colorado lamented for one minute and then went to work. Leaders then passed a comprehensive state-based replacement in the 2024 legislature, Jerd Smith reports, and now other states are using that quick action as a model for their own goals.
  • EV prices are now competitive, even the long-range models. This article has a bit too much “woe is us” from automakers, but the upshot for consumers is that it’s going to be a great year to buy an EV. New models are now on the floor from a number of cutthroat manufacturers, and prices of a few 300-plus mile range vehicles are comparable to gas models even before stacking all the government rebates you can get in Colorado. Look at leasing, too, with some models a third or more lower per month.
    — Bloomberg

WATER

Is climate change robbing mountain groundwater, too?

A graphic showing how much the ingredients in a burger have increased
Did we use this photo just to get a magnificent view of Crested Butte? Yes, we did. But it’s also true that a groundwater study included this area! (Dean Krakel, Special to The Colorado Sun)

25%

Groundwater contribution to streams in the East River Basin in Colorado


“I’m an optimistic person, but it’s like, OK, it’s going to be worse than you think.”

— Rosemary Carroll, Desert Research Institute

In 2021, Upper Basin states, including Colorado, saw 80% of their normal snowpack. But once spring runoff started, they only saw 30% of the average flows in their streams and rivers. What gives?

It’s a central question for scientists around the overstressed Colorado River Basin, where streams and rivers provide water for 40 million people. They’re looking at precipitation, evaporation, thirsty soils, warming temperatures and more. Rosemary Carroll, a research professor of hydrology at the Desert Research Institute in Nevada, decided to look below the surface.

“One of the areas that was really not well understood is groundwater in these mountain systems — how important is it?” said Carroll, the lead researcher on a groundwater study published May 23 in the academic journal, Nature Water.

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How would a Front Range train work, what would it cost, and when would it start? 

How would a Front Range train work, what would it cost, and when would it start? 

On an Aurora golf course, young caddies learn confidence, communication — and how to handle a paycheck

On an Aurora golf course, young caddies learn confidence, communication — and how to handle a paycheck

Groundwater is stored in the cracks in rock and spaces between soil and sand, forming aquifers. Some of that water can eventually reach the surface and join streams and rivers. From there, it can eventually reach reservoirs or flow through tunnels, canals, ditches and pipes to supply homes, farms and businesses.

In mountainous areas, most of the water in streams comes from snowmelt. Without a lot of data, it’s been assumed that groundwater is not really a huge player.

That’s not the case, Carroll said.

The research team looked at the East River Basin northeast of Crested Butte and found that on average, 25% of the streamflow in the basin comes from groundwater. It acts like a buffer in dry years, she said. Without it, late summer and winter flows would fall and streams would go dry.

Then Carroll cranked up the temperature. By modeling future warming, the scientists found that groundwater storage would fall to the lowest known levels after the first extremely dry year and fail to recover even after multiple wet periods. That would impact water supplies on the surface, Carroll said.

Scientists need to account for groundwater in their research on the Colorado River Basin, Carroll said. Otherwise, their results will always be rosier than reality. Stay tuned for more at ColoradoSun.com about the role of groundwater in a warming river basin.

.

Shannon Mullane | Water Reporter

HEALTH NEWS

  • Gigafact query: Is Pfizer really working on a bird flu vaccine for humans? Short answer: Yes, from our Justin George. Crossover is extremely rare, but a vaccine could prove useful anyway.
    — Sun/Gigafact
  • Farm workers first need access to bird flu tests. Before we start worrying too much about a vaccine, Kaiser Health News tells us, we need to get more farmers access to basic testing for the hard-to-predict bird flu epidemic in flocks.
    — Kaiser Health News
  • The rest of that story about the 2-year-old’s heart. We introduced you to a happy, active 2-year-old named Willow, sporting a newly transplanted heart, through Jennifer Brown’s reporting here last week. Now you can read the rest, including some touching check-ins with the donor family about their loss and their mixed emotions.
  • Can a family farm recover when an accident devastates the family? The Rohwer family had just heard from their mother, Judy, that they were all working too hard and needed to take a break. Then a car accident killed Judy and seriously injured other family members. Sue McMillin’s words and Hugh Carey’s photos tell the story of life-changing injuries and a long row to hoe toward recovery.

CHART OF THE WEEK

A graphic showing how much the ingredients in a burger have increased
Global energy watchers believe China may be nearing a turning point on slowing carbon dioxide growth, if it’s not already there. (Source: Lauri Myllyvrta for Carbon Brief, with permission)

When people despair about controlling the growth of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere anytime soon, China is often their worry-prompt. To continue its massive, rapid industrialization and urbanization, China is constantly adding new fossil fuel sources for energy, from coal-fired power plants to diesel trucks and buses. Right?

Energy analyst Lauri Myllyvrta, writing for Carbon Brief, has been watching for the chance to offer a different take. And last month, they found it: a one-month drop in China’s carbon output, after a long stretch of growth. Those cheap solar panels China is dumping on the West are also making a big change at home, with new energy now generated more by far from solar, wind and clean sources than new fossil fuel burners.

It might not be the final turnaround, Myllyvrta says, but it’s the sign of things to come. And a bit of hope.

Section by Michael Booth | Reporter


Thanks for joining us for commuting, water and other vital news this week. Remember the upside of the Avs’ and Nuggets’ early playoff exits: You can stay outside in the late sunshine and ignore what look like Panthers and Celtics finals sweeps. See you next week!

— Michael & John

Corrections & Clarifications

Notice something wrong? The Colorado Sun has an ethical responsibility to fix all factual errors. Request a correction by emailing corrections@coloradosun.com.

Type of Story: News

Based on facts, either observed and verified directly by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources.

Tagged: Premium Newsletter, The Temperature
A man with short reddish-brown hair wearing a light blue collared shirt, posed against a plain light background.

Michael BoothEnvironment Reporter

booth@coloradosun.com

Michael Booth is The Sun’s environment writer, and co-author of The Sun’s weekly climate and health newsletter The Temperature. He and John Ingold host the weekly SunUp podcast on The Temperature topics every Thursday. He is co-author with Jennifer Brown of the Colorado Book Award-winning food safety investigation “Eating Dangerously.”... More by Michael Booth

John IngoldHealth Reporter

johningold@coloradosun.com

John Ingold is a co-founder of The Colorado Sun and a reporter currently specializing in health care coverage. Born and raised in Colorado Springs, John spent 18 years working at The Denver Post. Prior to that, he held internships at the Rocky Ford Daily Gazette, the Colorado Springs Gazette and the Rocky Mountain News, as well as National Geographic... More by John Ingold

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The Colorado Sun is an award-winning news outlet based in Denver that strives to cover all of Colorado so that our state — our community — can better understand itself. The Colorado Sun is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. EIN: 36-5082144

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